Ain Holdings Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
The yearly results for Ain Holdings Inc. (TSE:9627) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of JP¥648b were what the analysts expected, Ain Holdings surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of JP¥492 per share, an impressive 23% above what was forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Ain Holdings from six analysts is for revenues of JP¥729.8b in 2027. If met, it would imply a solid 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to drop 12% to JP¥433 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥731.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥447 in 2027. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.
Check out our latest analysis for Ain Holdings
The consensus price target held steady at JP¥7,442, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Ain Holdings at JP¥9,850 per share, while the most bearish prices it at JP¥6,000. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Ain Holdings'historical trends, as the 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2027 is roughly in line with the 15% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 3.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that Ain Holdings is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Ain Holdings. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Ain Holdings going out to 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ain Holdings .
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.