NCL Industries Limited (NSE:NCLIND) will pay a dividend of ₹1.50 on the 15th of March. This will take the annual payment to 1.5% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, NCL Industries' dividend was only 15% of earnings, however it was paying out 509% of free cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.
EPS is set to fall by 13.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 32%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
See our latest analysis for NCL Industries
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ₹2.00 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹3.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 4.1% per annum over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings per share has been sinking by 13% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While NCL Industries is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think NCL Industries is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for NCL Industries (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.