The board of Shinyei Kaisha (TSE:3004) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥110.00 on the 27th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 4.4% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. But before making this announcement, Shinyei Kaisha's earnings quite easily covered the dividend. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 88% shows that most of the cash is going back to the shareholders, which could constrain growth prospects going forward.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 33.8% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 19%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Shinyei Kaisha
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥30.00 in 2016 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥110.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 14% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Shinyei Kaisha has been growing its earnings per share at 34% a year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Shinyei Kaisha's payments are rock solid. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Shinyei Kaisha has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Shinyei Kaisha has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is Shinyei Kaisha not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.