Nintendo Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7974) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥139.00 on 30th of June. The payment will take the dividend yield to 1.8%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Based on the last dividend, Nintendo is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 158% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 15.7%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 58% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Check out our latest analysis for Nintendo
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from ¥13.00 total annually to ¥181.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 30% per annum over that time. Nintendo has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Although it's important to note that Nintendo's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Nintendo's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Nintendo is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Nintendo (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.