Is Nichirei Corporation's (TSE:2871) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way?

Simply Wall St · 3d ago

Most readers would already know that Nichirei's (TSE:2871) stock increased by 4.4% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Nichirei's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nichirei is:

9.9% = JP¥28b ÷ JP¥284b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every ¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ¥0.10 in profit.

See our latest analysis for Nichirei

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Nichirei's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

To begin with, Nichirei seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.4% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Yet, Nichirei has posted measly growth of 4.7% over the past five years. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

We then compared Nichirei's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 9.2% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:2871 Past Earnings Growth January 8th 2026

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 2871 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 2871 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Nichirei Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 39% (implying that the company retains the remaining 61% of its income), Nichirei's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Nichirei has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Nichirei has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.