Assessing Elevra Lithium (ASX:ELV) Valuation After Lithium Price Rebound And Sharper Investor Focus

Simply Wall St · 4d ago

The latest surge in lithium prices after a three year bear market has pushed Elevra Lithium (ASX:ELV) into the spotlight, as investors reassess producers with established North American assets and tight cost control.

See our latest analysis for Elevra Lithium.

The surge in lithium prices has coincided with a sharp shift in sentiment toward Elevra Lithium, with a 30 day share price return of 46.94% and a 90 day share price return of 115.25% contributing to a 1 year total shareholder return of 137.07%. This has occurred even though the 3 year total shareholder return stands at a 74.23% decline.

If this kind of rebound has your attention, it could be a good moment to see what else is moving and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With Elevra Lithium up 137.07% over the past year yet still trading only around 10% below its A$9.75 price target, the key question is whether there is genuine value left here or whether the market is already pricing in the next leg of growth.

Price to Sales of 6.7x: Is it justified?

At the current A$8.89 share price, Elevra Lithium appears inexpensive on sales, with a 6.7x P/S ratio compared with peers that trade on 19.3x.

The P/S multiple compares the company’s market value to its A$223.365 million in revenue and is often used when a business is still loss making, as Elevra Lithium is today. For a pre profit miner and developer, investors tend to watch sales and consider how those revenues might eventually translate into cash flow.

Notably, the 6.7x P/S is lower than the peer group average of 19.3x and is also below an estimated fair P/S ratio of 13x that our regression analysis indicates the market may consider reasonable. Relative to a sector where the Australian metals and mining average P/S is 138.8x, Elevra Lithium’s current valuation level looks more restrained than many of its listed comparables.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Elevra Lithium

Result: Price-to-Sales of 6.7x (UNDERVALUED)

However, there are still clear pressure points here, including ongoing net losses of A$294.29 million and the risk that lithium prices retreat from current levels.

Find out about the key risks to this Elevra Lithium narrative.

Build Your Own Elevra Lithium Narrative

If you see the numbers differently, or prefer to test your own assumptions against the data, you can build a personalised Elevra view in minutes by starting with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Elevra Lithium research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.