With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.5x Kitagawa Seiki Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6327) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 23x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kitagawa SeikiLtd has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Kitagawa SeikiLtd
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Kitagawa SeikiLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 152% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 5.8% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 1.5% per annum as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.0% per annum.
With this information, we are not surprised that Kitagawa SeikiLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Kitagawa SeikiLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kitagawa SeikiLtd that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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