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To own Tencent today, you need to believe its core social, gaming and fintech engines can keep compounding while new AI and cloud monetization layers gradually add to earnings. The latest developments around digital yuan interest, ETF exposure and portfolio IPOs do not materially change the near term focus on turning AI investment into monetizable products, nor do they ease key risks around regulation and access to advanced chips.
Among the recent headlines, MiniMax’s Hong Kong listing stands out in the context of Tencent’s AI ambitions, because it reinforces Tencent’s role in China’s foundation model ecosystem. While this does not alter the headline risk around higher AI infrastructure spending, it adds another route by which Tencent can participate in AI adoption across applications and potentially support the long term case for its cloud and enterprise services earnings mix.
Yet, alongside these AI opportunities, investors should be aware that ongoing regulatory scrutiny of gaming, advertising and payments could...
Read the full narrative on Tencent Holdings (it's free!)
Tencent Holdings' narrative projects CN¥949.8 billion revenue and CN¥300.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 10.5% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥92.0 billion earnings increase from CN¥208.0 billion today.
Uncover how Tencent Holdings' forecasts yield a HK$743.06 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.
Twelve members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Tencent’s fair value between HK$508.40 and HK$890.68, reflecting a wide band of expectations. You can weigh these against the idea that heavy AI infrastructure spending may strain margins if monetization from new products is slower than hoped, which has important implications for how you think about Tencent’s future earnings power.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Tencent Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 43% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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