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To own Elevance Health, you need to believe its scale in U.S. managed care, pricing discipline, and technology investments can offset medical cost pressures and policy uncertainty. The recent pickup in institutional buying does not materially change the key near term catalyst, which remains evidence of sustained margin recovery, or the biggest risk, that elevated medical cost trends in ACA and Medicaid persist without adequate rate relief.
Against this backdrop, Elevance’s ongoing share repurchases, including nearly 2.9 million shares bought back in Q3 2025 for about US$875 million, are especially relevant. That capital return, alongside regular dividends, sits directly in the crosshairs of the margin recovery story: if cost trends stabilize, buybacks can enhance per share metrics, but if margin pressure lingers, investors may question how durable this capital return profile really is.
Yet investors should be aware that if elevated ACA and Medicaid medical costs remain stubbornly high without timely pricing adjustments, then...
Read the full narrative on Elevance Health (it's free!)
Elevance Health’s narrative projects $230.4 billion revenue and $7.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 6.8% yearly revenue growth and a $2.0 billion earnings increase from $5.4 billion today.
Uncover how Elevance Health's forecasts yield a $387.16 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.
Eleven members of the Simply Wall St Community see Elevance Health’s fair value anywhere between about US$320 and just over US$1,082, reflecting wide conviction gaps. As you weigh these views against the risk that persistently high medical costs could constrain margins, it becomes even more important to compare how different investors think the story might play out for Elevance’s performance and resilience.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Elevance Health - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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