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ICON (ICLR) Is Up 8.0% After Artisan Flags Crisis-Level Valuation - Has The Bull Case Changed?

Simply Wall St · 3d ago
  • In late 2025, Artisan Partners’ Artisan Mid Cap Value Fund increased its stake in ICON plc, emphasizing the company’s position as the second-largest global contract research organization with diversified biopharma clients and recurring clinical development contracts.
  • Artisan highlighted that ICON is trading near its lowest valuation since the 2008–2009 financial crisis, suggesting the market may be undervaluing its scale, data assets, and recurring revenue profile.
  • We’ll now examine how this increased backing from a major institutional investor shapes ICON’s investment narrative, particularly around perceived undervaluation.

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ICON Investment Narrative Recap

To own ICON, you need to believe in the long term need for outsourced clinical development and the value of its scale, data and recurring contracts. Artisan’s increased stake supports the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect these assets, but it does not materially change the near term picture, where elevated trial cancellations and cautious biopharma spending remain the key catalyst and risk to watch.

The recent expansion of ICON’s share repurchase authorization to US$1,250 million, alongside steady execution of the buyback program, is the most relevant development here. It underlines management’s confidence in deploying capital into the business and its shares while the company is also investing in AI enabled tools to improve trial efficiency, a potential support for earnings as demand conditions evolve.

Yet, while ICON is buying back stock, investors should still be aware that rising trial cancellations and funding driven delays could...

Read the full narrative on ICON (it's free!)

ICON's narrative projects $8.8 billion revenue and $1.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 2.9% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $200 million earnings increase from $794.2 million today.

Uncover how ICON's forecasts yield a $206.38 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ICLR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
ICLR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from about US$164 to over US$494,000 per share, showing how far apart individual models can be. Against this wide backdrop, the recent focus on ICON’s elevated cancellations and delayed trials reminds you to weigh differing optimism against the practical risks that could affect future contract volumes and earnings.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on ICON - why the stock might be worth 17% less than the current price!

Build Your Own ICON Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your ICON research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free ICON research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate ICON's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.