WEBULL

C3.ai (AI) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St · 3d ago

C3.ai (AI) has drawn fresh attention as investors weigh its current share price of US$13.90 against recent performance, with the stock showing a negative return over the past month and over the past 3 months.

See our latest analysis for C3.ai.

Looking beyond the recent pullback, C3.ai’s 1 day share price return of 1.09% sits against a weaker 30 day share price return of 7.82% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of 61.19% decline. This suggests momentum has been fading even as interest in AI themed names continues.

If C3.ai has caught your eye, this could be a moment to compare it with other enterprise-focused names by scanning high growth tech and AI stocks for fresh ideas in the broader AI space.

With C3.ai trading near its analyst price target and posting mixed long term returns, the key question is simple: is the current weakness a chance to buy into its AI platform, or is future growth already priced in?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 5.2% Undervalued

With C3.ai last closing at US$13.90 against a fair value estimate of US$14.67, the most popular narrative frames the shares as modestly undervalued and builds that view on a detailed set of growth and profitability assumptions.

The rapid expansion of AI deployments across manufacturing, chemicals, defense, and government clients, demonstrated by fresh enterprise-wide commitments from Nucor, Qemetica, HII, and U.S. Army projects, signals accelerating enterprise adoption of advanced AI platforms. This is expected to drive strong, multi-year revenue growth as adoption moves from pilots to broad production rollouts.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see how this adoption story turns into a concrete valuation? The narrative leans heavily on revenue compounding, margin repair, and a rich future earnings multiple. Curious which assumptions really move that fair value line?

Result: Fair Value of $14.67 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, that story runs into clear hurdles, including recent revenue decline with withdrawn guidance and ongoing operating losses that raise questions about how quickly the model can scale efficiently.

Find out about the key risks to this C3.ai narrative.

Build Your Own C3.ai Narrative

If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build your version in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your C3.ai research is our analysis highlighting 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

If C3.ai is on your radar, do not stop there, broaden your watchlist now so you are not the one hearing about the best ideas late.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.