A Look At Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Valuation After Recent Mixed Share Price Performance

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is drawing attention after recent share moves, with the stock showing mixed short term returns but a stronger performance over the past 3 months and year.

See our latest analysis for Las Vegas Sands.

Recent share price softness, including a 2.43% 30 day share price return decline, contrasts with a 21.34% 90 day share price return and a 33.39% 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests momentum has been building over the longer term as market expectations around growth and risk have shifted.

If Las Vegas Sands has caught your eye, it could be worth broadening your watchlist and checking out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a source of fresh ideas.

With Las Vegas Sands trading at $64.64 and an intrinsic value estimate suggesting a 52% discount, the question is whether the stock is genuinely undervalued or whether the market has already priced in expectations for future growth.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 1.8% Undervalued

The most followed narrative sees Las Vegas Sands trading slightly below its fair value estimate of $65.85 compared with the last close at $64.64, creating a narrow valuation gap to unpack.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $59.9 for Las Vegas Sands based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $73.5, and the most bearish reporting a price target of $50.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what sits behind that tight valuation band? Revenue forecasts, margin shifts and a future earnings multiple all feed into this fair value story.

Result: Fair Value of $65.85 (ABOUT RIGHT)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, that fair value story could be challenged if Macau’s recovery stalls further, or if intensified premium mass competition squeezes revenue and EBITDA margins more than expected.

Find out about the key risks to this Las Vegas Sands narrative.

Build Your Own Las Vegas Sands Narrative

If you look at this and think the story should read differently, or simply prefer to build on your own research, you can piece together a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Las Vegas Sands research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

If you want to widen your opportunity set beyond a single stock, now is the time to scan for other ideas that fit your style and risk comfort.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.