Nicox S.A. (EPA:ALCOX) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Nicox S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an ophthalmology company in France and internationally. The €28m market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of €22m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of €27m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on Nicox's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.
Expectations from some of the French Biotechs analysts is that Nicox is on the verge of breakeven. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of €8.0m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly a year from now or less! We calculated the rate at which the company must grow to meet the consensus forecasts predicting breakeven within 12 months. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 179% is expected, which signals high confidence from analysts. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Nicox's upcoming projects, but, take into account that typically a biotech has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the product type and stage of development the company is in. This means that a high growth rate is not unusual, especially if the company is currently in an investment period.
Check out our latest analysis for Nicox
One thing we would like to bring into light with Nicox is it currently has negative equity on its balance sheet. This can sometimes arise from accounting methods used to deal with accumulated losses from prior years, which are viewed as liabilities carried forward until it cancels out in the future. These losses tend to occur only on paper, however, in other cases it can be forewarning.
This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Nicox, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Nicox's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential factors you should further examine:
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.