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To own Fairfax today, you need to believe in its ability to compound value through disciplined insurance underwriting and opportunistic investing, while managing earnings volatility from markets and catastrophes. The Eurolife sale and US$15.00 per share dividend are sizeable capital movements, but they do not materially change the near term reliance on elevated investment income as the key catalyst, or the risk that lower interest rates and market swings could pressure earnings.
The most connected recent development is the announced sale of Fairfax’s 80% stake in Eurolife’s life insurance operations to Eurobank for about US$940 million, with an expected pretax gain of roughly US$250 million. Together with the special dividend, this highlights how Fairfax is reshaping its balance sheet while investors weigh how sustainable current net investment income and underwriting profitability really are.
Yet behind the headline dividend, there is a less obvious risk around Fairfax’s exposure to investment income volatility that investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Fairfax Financial Holdings (it's free!)
Fairfax Financial Holdings' narrative projects $41.8 billion revenue and $2.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.4% yearly revenue growth and a $1.7 billion earnings decrease from $4.6 billion today.
Uncover how Fairfax Financial Holdings' forecasts yield a CA$2708 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place Fairfax’s fair value anywhere from about US$2,641 to over US$2,022,944 per share, showing just how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, the concern that today’s elevated net investment income may prove temporary gives you a clear reason to compare these different expectations and think carefully about what could drive Fairfax’s performance over time.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Fairfax Financial Holdings - why the stock might be worth just CA$2641!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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