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The Bull Case For Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Could Change Following Goldman’s AOI Upside, Theater-Sale Catalyst News

Simply Wall St · 6d ago
  • In early January 2026, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its Conviction Buy view on Madison Square Garden Entertainment and highlighted expectations for stronger operating income, supported by a packed concerts calendar and a planned music residency across upcoming fiscal years.
  • The firm also pointed to the potential sale of the Theater at MSG, tied to the Penn Station Transformation Plan, as a key future catalyst contingent on a developer being selected by May 2026.
  • We’ll now examine how the highlighted double-digit AOI growth potential could influence Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s broader investment narrative.

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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Investment Narrative Recap

To own Madison Square Garden Entertainment, you need to believe in sustained demand for premium, in-person events at its flagship New York venues and the company’s ability to keep those calendars filled. Goldman Sachs’ focus on double digit AOI growth from concerts and a planned residency supports the near term earnings catalyst, but it does not materially change the biggest risk: MSGE’s dependence on a small number of venues and marquee shows to keep results on track.

The news also connects directly with MSGE’s efforts to deepen the live experience, such as rolling out Sphere Immersive Sound across Radio City Music Hall and other New York theaters. That upgrade aims to support pricing power and fan engagement, which could matter if the concerts pipeline or any future Theater at MSG transaction affects how consistently the company can monetize its limited set of venues.

However, investors should also be aware that this venue concentration creates exposure if...

Read the full narrative on Madison Square Garden Entertainment (it's free!)

Madison Square Garden Entertainment's narrative projects $1.1 billion revenue and $131.3 million earnings by 2028. This implies 5.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $93.9 million earnings increase from $37.4 million today.

Uncover how Madison Square Garden Entertainment's forecasts yield a $51.86 fair value, a 5% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MSGE 1-Year Stock Price Chart
MSGE 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Simply Wall St Community members currently cluster around a single fair value estimate near US$63.26 per share, showing how one group of private investors views MSGE. You should weigh that against MSGE’s reliance on a few core venues for growth, and consider how different opinions on that risk can shape very different expectations for the business over time.

Explore another fair value estimate on Madison Square Garden Entertainment - why the stock might be worth just $63.26!

Build Your Own Madison Square Garden Entertainment Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.