Polymarket Trader Nets Over $400K After Maduro Ouster and U.S. Military Raid

A trader on the prediction market Polymarket recorded more than $400,000 in profits after placing large wagers that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be out of office by January 31, 2026, shortly before U.S. forces captured Maduro during a military operation in Caracas.

• On January 2, 2026, a newly created Polymarket account placed significant bets on contracts tied to Maduro being removed from office by January 31.
• The same account also traded related contracts involving potential U.S. military action in Venezuela.
• On Saturday, U.S. forces carried out a raid in Caracas and captured Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores.
• Maduro and Flores were transported to New York and brought to a federal courthouse in Lower Manhattan on Monday.
• They face charges including narco-terrorism and conspiracy to import cocaine, according to an unsealed U.S. indictment.
• Transaction records displayed on Polymarket show the trader redeeming positions totaling more than $400,000.

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Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

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