With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x Tokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:064760) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Tokai Carbon Korea as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Tokai Carbon Korea
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tokai Carbon Korea would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 23% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 36%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Tokai Carbon Korea's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Tokai Carbon Korea's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Tokai Carbon Korea with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Tokai Carbon Korea. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.