Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (KRX:005930) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 147% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Korea have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Samsung Electronics as a stock to avoid entirely with its 31.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Samsung Electronics' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Samsung Electronics
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Samsung Electronics would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.0%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 29% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Samsung Electronics is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The strong share price surge has got Samsung Electronics' P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Samsung Electronics maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Samsung Electronics with six simple checks.
You might be able to find a better investment than Samsung Electronics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.