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A Look At Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback

Simply Wall St · 6d ago

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has recently drawn investor attention after a sharp share price pullback over the past month, even though its total returns over the past 3 months and 1 year remain positive.

See our latest analysis for Par Pacific Holdings.

That pullback contrasts with Par Pacific Holdings' 1-year total shareholder return of 114.49% and 5-year total shareholder return of 158.63%. At the same time, the 30-day share price return of an 18.03% decline suggests recent momentum has been fading around the current $35.82 level.

If this kind of sharp swing has you looking beyond a single refiner, it could be a moment to broaden your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With Par Pacific trading around $35.82 and sitting at an estimated 36% discount to one intrinsic value estimate and about 31% below an analyst price target, you have to ask: is there still a buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 24.4% Undervalued

With Par Pacific Holdings last closing at $35.82 against a narrative fair value of $47.38, the current price sits well below that estimate.

The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $44.00 to $47.38, reflecting an updated outlook on the company's intrinsic worth. The Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 7.33% to 7.25%, indicating a marginal reduction in the perceived risk of future cash flows.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a lower growth forecast can still support a higher fair value? The narrative leans heavily on margin assumptions and future earnings multiples. Want to see how those inputs fit together?

Result: Fair Value of $47.38 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this depends on Par Pacific managing regional concentration in Hawaii and the Western states, as well as elevated leverage that could limit flexibility if conditions tighten.

Find out about the key risks to this Par Pacific Holdings narrative.

Build Your Own Par Pacific Holdings Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or prefer to work through the data on your own terms, you can build a custom view in minutes, starting with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Par Pacific Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.