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Should NIO’s Record 2025 Multi‑Brand EV Deliveries Require Action From NIO (NIO) Investors?

Simply Wall St · 01/05 04:39
  • NIO Inc. reported in early January 2026 that it had delivered 48,135 vehicles in December 2025 and 124,807 vehicles in the fourth quarter, bringing full-year 2025 deliveries to 326,028 and cumulative deliveries to 997,592 across its NIO, ONVO and FIREFLY brands.
  • This broad-based strength across three distinct brands suggests NIO’s multi-brand approach is gaining traction with different customer segments in the electric vehicle market.
  • We’ll now examine how NIO’s record 2025 delivery volumes across its expanded multi-brand lineup may influence the company’s investment narrative.

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NIO Investment Narrative Recap

To own NIO, you need to believe its multi-brand strategy can eventually convert strong vehicle volumes into sustainable profits, despite ongoing losses and fierce EV competition. The record 2025 deliveries reinforce the near term volume and scale catalyst, but do not yet resolve the key risk that high R&D and SG&A spending continue to weigh on net earnings.

Among recent updates, NIO’s Q3 2025 results stand out in this context, with revenue rising to CNY 21,793.88 million while net loss narrowed to CNY 3,660.75 million. When you put that side by side with record Q4 delivery volumes of 124,807 vehicles and full year deliveries of 326,028, you can see why many investors are watching closely for operating leverage to start showing up more clearly in future reports.

But before you focus only on the delivery momentum, you should also understand how persistent net losses could still...

Read the full narrative on NIO (it's free!)

NIO's narrative projects CN¥148.4 billion revenue and CN¥7.5 billion earnings by 2028.

Uncover how NIO's forecasts yield a $6.75 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NIO 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NIO 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Twenty three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see NIO’s fair value anywhere between US$4.03 and US$18.27 per share. With such a wide spread of expectations, it is worth weighing that enthusiasm against the reality that NIO remains loss making even as volumes hit record highs, and considering how different views on profitability could shape your own expectations for the business.

Explore 23 other fair value estimates on NIO - why the stock might be worth 22% less than the current price!

Build Your Own NIO Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your NIO research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free NIO research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate NIO's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.