We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Lunnon Metals Limited's (ASX:LM8) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Lunnon Metals Limited focuses on the exploration and development of nickel and gold in Australia. On 30 June 2025, the AU$75m market-cap company posted a loss of AU$13m for its most recent financial year. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Lunnon Metals will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.
Expectations from some of the Australian Metals and Mining analysts is that Lunnon Metals is on the verge of breakeven. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of AU$45m in 2026. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 12 months from now or less. How fast will the company have to grow to reach the consensus forecasts that anticipate breakeven by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 31% year-on-year, on average, which signals high confidence from analysts. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.
Underlying developments driving Lunnon Metals' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, however, keep in mind that typically metals and mining companies, depending on the stage of operation and metals mined, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.
See our latest analysis for Lunnon Metals
One thing we’d like to point out is that Lunnon Metals has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. This means that the company has been operating purely on its equity investment and has no debt burden. This aspect reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.
There are too many aspects of Lunnon Metals to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Lunnon Metals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of relevant factors you should further research:
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.