According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 15.5%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 42.2%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 51.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 6%.

According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 15.5%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.5%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 42.2%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 51.8%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 6%.