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WiseTech Global (ASX:WTC) Valuation Update After Founder’s 20 Million Share Collar Deal With Macquarie Bank

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

WiseTech Global (ASX:WTC) is back in the spotlight after founder Richard White entered a collar derivative and financing deal over 20 million shares with Macquarie Bank, prompting fresh questions about motives and market impact.

See our latest analysis for WiseTech Global.

The founder’s collar deal lands at a tricky moment for sentiment. The latest A$68.74 share price sits well below earlier peaks after a weak year to date share price return, but it is still supported by solid multi year total shareholder returns that hint at durable growth expectations rather than a broken story.

If this kind of strategic founder move has you thinking more broadly about opportunity, now could be a smart time to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

So with the share price off sharply year to date, but still boasting strong multi year gains and a hefty discount to analyst targets, is WiseTech quietly undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 39.4% Undervalued

With WiseTech Global last closing at A$68.74 against a narrative fair value near A$113, the most followed view suggests meaningful upside if its growth blueprint holds.

The rollout of the new unified, transaction-based CargoWise commercial model (the "Value Pack"), which removes seat-based pricing and bundles advanced AI-driven workflow and management engines, is expected to accelerate market penetration, reduce adoption friction, and open the SME market, resulting in significant recurring revenue uplift and higher customer retention as user engagement scales with transaction volumes.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a logistics software company gets marked for such a steep upside? The narrative leans on rapid revenue expansion, stubbornly high margins, and a future earnings multiple usually reserved for elite growth names. Want to see which precise growth, profitability, and valuation assumptions power that A$113 fair value and how they stack up over the next few years? Dive in to unpack the full playbook behind this call.

Result: Fair Value of $113.39 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, slowing organic growth and the complex, high cost integration of E2open could pressure margins and undermine the market’s optimistic long term assumptions.

Find out about the key risks to this WiseTech Global narrative.

Another Lens on Value

Step away from narratives and the raw earnings multiple paints a different picture. WiseTech trades on 76.4 times earnings, well above the global software average of 27.1 and a fair ratio of 49.2, hinting at meaningful valuation risk even versus rich peers at 94.9. Which signal matters more for you?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

ASX:WTC PE Ratio as at Dec 2025
ASX:WTC PE Ratio as at Dec 2025

Build Your Own WiseTech Global Narrative

If you want to stress test these assumptions or back your own view with the numbers, you can build a fresh WiseTech thesis in minutes: Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding WiseTech Global.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.