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To own Federal Realty, you need to believe in its ability to compound value through high quality retail centers in strong markets, supported by active leasing and disciplined capital recycling. The recent US$170,000,000 of asset sales, record Q3 2025 operating performance, and higher FFO guidance support the near term growth and dividend stability story, while execution in new markets and ongoing capital needs for redevelopment remain the key risks. Overall, this news appears incrementally positive, not transformative.
The recent sale of Pallas at Pike & Rose and Bristol Plaza, with proceeds redeployed into Village Pointe and Annapolis Town Center, ties directly into the main catalyst of capital recycling into larger, higher growth centers. This shift aligns with management’s focus on refining portfolio quality while trying to self fund acquisitions and redevelopment, which could help reduce reliance on external capital but also increases exposure to the timing and pricing risk of future asset sales.
Yet behind the stronger guidance and acquisitions, there is still the risk that recycling assets in a weaker property market could limit future growth investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Federal Realty Investment Trust (it's free!)
Federal Realty Investment Trust's narrative projects $1.4 billion revenue and $306.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings decrease of about $30.5 million from $336.8 million today.
Uncover how Federal Realty Investment Trust's forecasts yield a $110.39 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from about US$34 to nearly US$140 per share, reflecting very different expectations. When you set those against Federal Realty’s capital recycling catalyst and the risk that future asset sales could be priced lower if markets soften, it underlines why many investors compare several viewpoints before forming an opinion.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Federal Realty Investment Trust - why the stock might be worth as much as 38% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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