WEBULL

Elme Communities (ELME): Reassessing Valuation After $1.6 Billion Asset Sale and New DSC Meridian Stake

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

DSC Meridian Capital’s fresh stake in Elme Communities (ELME) comes shortly after Elme’s roughly $1.6 billion sale of 19 multifamily properties, a move that is sharpening investor focus on underlying asset value.

See our latest analysis for Elme Communities.

With the portfolio sale reframing Elme as a leaner multifamily REIT, the stock’s roughly 15 percent year to date share price return and near 20 percent one year total shareholder return suggest that momentum is quietly rebuilding as investors reassess the risk reward trade off.

If this kind of repositioning has your attention, it is a good moment to broaden your watchlist and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

Yet with revenue shrinking, profits still negative, and shares trading above the average analyst target, it is fair to ask: Is Elme quietly undervalued after its portfolio reset, or is the market already baking in the next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 33.8% Overvalued

The most followed narrative implies a fair value of $13.00 compared with Elme’s last close at $17.39, setting up a sizable valuation gap to unpack.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $18.333 for Elme Communities based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. In order for you to agree with the analyst's consensus, you'd need to believe that by 2028, revenues will be $250.7 million, earnings will come to $5.0 million, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 402.9x, assuming you use a discount rate of 7.3%.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a loss making REIT ends up with growth, margin expansion, and a sky high future earnings multiple all baked into one story? The narrative lays out the full math behind that stretch valuation. Want to see which assumptions do the heavy lifting and how they connect back to this liquidation focused strategy?

Result: Fair Value of $13 (OVERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, execution missteps in the liquidation process, or weaker than expected sale proceeds, could quickly erode today’s valuation premium and challenge this upbeat narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Elme Communities narrative.

Build Your Own Elme Communities Narrative

If you are not fully aligned with this view or would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom narrative in under three minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Elme Communities research is our analysis highlighting 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.