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To be in Fastly, you need to believe its edge cloud and expanding security suite can eventually offset losses and intense CDN competition, with security and compute driving a higher quality revenue mix. The zero coupon convertible notes and NASDAQ Composite inclusion may modestly support that near term catalyst by improving liquidity and financial flexibility, but the core risk around concentrated customers and pricing pressure in a commoditizing market remains very much in focus.
The US$160,000,000 zero coupon convertible senior notes due 2030 are the clearest recent development for this thesis, since they raise non dilutive capital today while pushing potential dilution and repayment out several years. For a company still posting net losses and funding ongoing R&D and network investment, this financing ties directly into the key question of whether Fastly can sustain product expansion in security and compute long enough to scale into a more durable earnings profile.
Yet investors also need to weigh how this added balance sheet flexibility interacts with Fastly’s reliance on a concentrated group of large customers and what that means if usage trends begin to...
Read the full narrative on Fastly (it's free!)
Fastly's narrative projects $694.5 million revenue and $44.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.7% yearly revenue growth and a $191.9 million earnings increase from -$147.6 million today.
Uncover how Fastly's forecasts yield a $10.42 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.
Seven Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Fastly range from US$0.32 to US$15.89, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. When you set that against Fastly’s still unprofitable profile and dependence on a relatively small group of large customers, it highlights why many market participants are scrutinizing revenue stability and customer concentration risk before committing fresh capital.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Fastly - why the stock might be worth as much as 59% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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