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To own Marriott Vacations Worldwide, you need to believe in sustained demand for upper-upscale leisure travel and the company’s ability to convert first-time buyers into long-term owners, despite recent earnings pressure. The higher dividend and extended buyback window do not materially change the near term focus on stabilizing contract sales and addressing rising credit risk from higher loan loss provisions and defaults in certain markets.
Among recent developments, the Q3 2025 results and reduced contract sales guidance stand out, because they put the new dividend and buyback in context of softer sales and thinner margins. For investors, the key question is whether modernization efforts and strong first-time buyer growth can offset pressures from slowing owner upsales, higher costs and weaker rental profit as the business matures.
Yet even with rising dividends and robust travel demand, investors should be aware of how increasing loan loss provisions and emerging market defaults could...
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Marriott Vacations Worldwide's narrative projects $6.3 billion revenue and $355.3 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Marriott Vacations Worldwide's forecasts yield a $64.00 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.
Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a very wide range, from US$64 to US$72,680.55, underscoring just how differently investors can see the same stock. Set against this, concerns about higher loan loss provisions and sensitivity to economic shifts remind you to weigh enthusiastic valuations against the credit risks that could pressure future earnings.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Marriott Vacations Worldwide - why the stock might be worth just $64.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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