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Simon Property Group (SPG): Reassessing Valuation After Insider Buying and Taubman Integration Updates

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Simon Property Group (SPG) just drew fresh attention after Director Randall Lewis bought more shares, extending a steady streak of insider buying. Together with upbeat Taubman integration commentary, this is reshaping how investors are sizing up the REIT.

See our latest analysis for Simon Property Group.

Against this backdrop, Simon’s share price has quietly trended higher, with a solid year to date share price return and an even stronger multiyear total shareholder return suggesting momentum is building as investors re-rate its mall and outlet portfolio.

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With insiders leaning in, earnings beating expectations, and a sizable intrinsic value gap still implied, investors now face a key question: Is Simon Property Group still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 4.8% Undervalued

With Simon Property Group last closing at $184.22 against a narrative fair value of about $193.45, the story frames modest upside still on the table.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $184.05 for Simon Property Group based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $225.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $169.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady top line assumptions, rising margins and a richer future earnings multiple can still point to upside at today’s price? The narrative lays out a surprisingly assertive path for profits, valuations and long term returns that goes far beyond recent headline beats. Want to see exactly which earnings and revenue trajectories are doing the heavy lifting in that fair value math?

Result: Fair Value of $193.45 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, retail bankruptcies and elevated redevelopment spending could still undermine occupancy, pressure margins, and challenge the upbeat long term valuation narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Simon Property Group narrative.

Build Your Own Simon Property Group Narrative

If you see the assumptions differently or want to stress test the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Simon Property Group research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.