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To own FMC here, you need to believe management can stabilize a pressured crop protection business and convert Project Foundation’s heavy upfront charges into durable cost savings, while keeping lenders onside. Near term, the key catalyst is execution on restructuring and cost takeout, while the biggest risk is that elevated leverage and tighter covenants constrain flexibility if margins stay under pressure from generics and weak pricing.
The sharp cut in FMC’s quarterly dividend to US$0.08 per share and the amended credit agreement both tie directly into that balance sheet risk, reinforcing how much room for error has narrowed. These moves make deleveraging progress and cash generation even more central to the story than before, because any stumble on restructuring or earnings recovery could quickly test the new leverage and interest coverage limits.
But while Project Foundation targets sizable savings, investors should be aware that tighter covenants and higher generic competition could still...
Read the full narrative on FMC (it's free!)
FMC's narrative projects $4.8 billion revenue and $542.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $413 million earnings increase from $129.7 million today.
Uncover how FMC's forecasts yield a $24.92 fair value, a 81% upside to its current price.
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$24.92 to US$74.11 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that wide range, FMC’s elevated leverage and stricter lending covenants keep financial flexibility front and center, so it is worth weighing several scenarios before deciding how the business might perform from here.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on FMC - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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