Parsons (PSN) has slid about 26% over the past month and roughly the same in the past 3 months, pulling its year to date loss to around 33%, which naturally raises valuation questions.
See our latest analysis for Parsons.
The 1 month share price return of negative 26.2% and 1 year total shareholder return of negative 36.6% show momentum has clearly faded, as investors reassess Parsons’ growth prospects and risk profile, despite its longer term total shareholder returns still being positive over 3 and 5 years.
If this recent weakness has you reassessing your exposure to defense and infrastructure names, it could be a useful moment to explore aerospace and defense stocks as potential alternatives or complements.
With earnings still growing and the share price now trading at a sizable discount to analyst targets, investors face a key question: is this a mispriced downturn, or is the market sensibly discounting Parsons’ future growth?
Compared with Parsons’ last close of $60.20, the most widely followed narrative pegs fair value far higher, implying a substantial upside gap yet to close.
Robust funding environment, demonstrated by a record funded backlog (up 14% YoY), strong free cash flow performance, and high win rates on large contracts, combine with secular infrastructure and security demand to underpin both near
and long-term earnings growth and margin stability, despite investor caution or perceived near-term volatility.
Want to see how steady margin expansion, measured revenue growth, and a premium future earnings multiple all converge into one bold fair value call? Read on.
Result: Fair Value of $91.56 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, that bullish setup could unravel if U.S. federal budgets tighten or Parsons stumbles on integrating recent acquisitions, which could pressure margins and contract momentum.
Find out about the key risks to this Parsons narrative.
If you see the story differently or want to stress test the assumptions with your own research, you can build a custom view in minutes: Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Parsons.
Before you move on, explore fresh ideas tailored to different strategies using the Simply Wall Street Screener so your next opportunity does not slip past you.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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