The board of Seven Bank, Ltd. (TSE:8410) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥5.50 per share on the 9th of June. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 3.7%, which is around the industry average.
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable.
Seven Bank has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Seven Bank's payout ratio of 71% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 9.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the future payout ratio could be 70% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
View our latest analysis for Seven Bank
The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥8.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥11.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.2% a year over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, things aren't all that rosy. Seven Bank has seen earnings per share falling at 8.6% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Seven Bank has the ability to continue this into the future. With shrinking earnings, the company may see some issues maintaining the dividend even though they look pretty sustainable for now. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Without at least some growth in earnings per share over time, the dividend will eventually come under pressure either from competition or inflation. See if the 3 analysts are forecasting a turnaround in our free collection of analyst estimates here. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.