The Wave Life Sciences Ltd. (NASDAQ:WVE) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 128%. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, Wave Life Sciences' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 24.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.2x and even P/S below 1.5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Wave Life Sciences
Recent times have been advantageous for Wave Life Sciences as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Wave Life Sciences.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Wave Life Sciences' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 104% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 28% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Wave Life Sciences is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The strong share price surge has lead to Wave Life Sciences' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've concluded that Wave Life Sciences currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Wave Life Sciences (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.