At “#国是论坛 #:2025年会” hosted by China News Service on the 16th, Ma Jiantang, former Party Secretary of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said that the average GDP per capita of 15 middle-developed countries listed by the World Bank in 2022 was 23,000 US dollars. Based on the actual situation of the Chinese economy in 2024, assuming that per capita GDP reaches 20,000 US dollars by 2035, the Chinese economy will need to grow by 3.7% per year for the remaining 11 years. If it reaches 23,000 US dollars by 2035, the average annual growth rate for the remaining 11 years will be 5%. As China's total population has declined, the per capita GDP growth rate is expected to be higher than 5%. Therefore, without considering the exchange rate issue and the major inflation problem that will occur in the next 11 years, according to current and future actual conditions, it is entirely possible that China's per capita GDP will reach 23,000 US dollars by 2035.

Zhitongcaijing · 2d ago
At “#国是论坛 #:2025年会” hosted by China News Service on the 16th, Ma Jiantang, former Party Secretary of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said that the average GDP per capita of 15 middle-developed countries listed by the World Bank in 2022 was 23,000 US dollars. Based on the actual situation of the Chinese economy in 2024, assuming that per capita GDP reaches 20,000 US dollars by 2035, the Chinese economy will need to grow by 3.7% per year for the remaining 11 years. If it reaches 23,000 US dollars by 2035, the average annual growth rate for the remaining 11 years will be 5%. As China's total population has declined, the per capita GDP growth rate is expected to be higher than 5%. Therefore, without considering the exchange rate issue and the major inflation problem that will occur in the next 11 years, according to current and future actual conditions, it is entirely possible that China's per capita GDP will reach 23,000 US dollars by 2035.