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To own Viasat, you generally need to believe that its capital intensive satellite network can translate into durable demand for differentiated connectivity across aviation, maritime, and space. The INNOSPACE InRange deal reinforces that mission support services may gradually complement its core broadband offerings, but it does not materially change the near term picture, where heavy ViaSat 3 and Inmarsat related spending and execution on new capacity remain the key catalyst and the biggest risk.
The announcement that Inmarsat Maritime is upgrading its NexusWave bonded connectivity, ahead of additional ViaSat 3 capacity over the Americas and Asia Pacific, is closely linked to this launch telemetry news. Both point to Viasat trying to monetize its network across more use cases, from ships at sea to rockets in flight, which ties directly into whether future revenue can eventually offset the current pressure from high capital expenditure and ongoing losses.
Yet investors should also be aware that concentrated spending on ViaSat 3 and related projects could compound the impact if...
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Viasat's narrative projects $5.0 billion revenue and $534.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 2.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.13 billion earnings increase from -$598.5 million today.
Uncover how Viasat's forecasts yield a $36.25 fair value, in line with its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community have published fair value estimates ranging from US$10 to about US$103.59, underscoring how far views can diverge. You will want to weigh that spread against Viasat’s heavy capital commitments to ViaSat 3 and Inmarsat, which could influence both future cash flow resilience and how these different valuations play out over time.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Viasat - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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