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Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) Valuation Check as New Capital Bank Deal Expands Its APMEA Footprint

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) just logged a fresh win in Jordan, where Capital Bank rolled out its VCP Pro 7 platform across Windows 11 ATMs, opening another door into the broader APMEA growth story.

See our latest analysis for Diebold Nixdorf.

Backed by product launches like the DN Series 300 and 350 and client wins such as Capital Bank, Diebold Nixdorf’s roughly 59 percent year to date share price return suggests momentum is building as investors reassess its turnaround and growth prospects.

If this kind of payment and ATM tech story interests you, it is worth exploring high growth tech and AI stocks to spot other innovators shaping the next wave of financial infrastructure.

With the shares up more than 40 percent over the past year yet still trading at a steep discount to some fair value estimates, investors may wonder: Is Diebold Nixdorf an overlooked turnaround story, or is the market already pricing in the next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 14.3% Undervalued

With Diebold Nixdorf last closing at $67.68 versus a narrative fair value near $79, the story leans toward meaningful upside if its execution holds.

Company wide operational restructuring, lean initiatives, and OpEx rationalization (including consolidation of repair centers and shared services) are poised to drive further margin expansion and sustainable EBITDA growth, reducing cost structure and enhancing net earnings over the coming years.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady revenue, rising margins, and a future earnings multiple come together to back this upside case? The narrative spells out a surprisingly ambitious path, step by step.

Result: Fair Value of $79 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rapid shifts to fully digital banking and slower than expected progress in higher margin software and services could quickly undermine that upside narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Diebold Nixdorf narrative.

Another Angle on Valuation

On earnings multiples, Diebold Nixdorf looks far less of a bargain. The shares trade around 48 times earnings, compared with a fair ratio near 40.9 times, the global tech average of 22.7 times, and peer levels near 11.9 times, which points to real valuation risk if growth disappoints.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:DBD PE Ratio as at Dec 2025
NYSE:DBD PE Ratio as at Dec 2025

Build Your Own Diebold Nixdorf Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized view in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Diebold Nixdorf research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.