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To own Charter Hall Retail REIT, you need to believe in the durability of necessity-based retail and the trust’s ability to keep assets leased to reliable tenants. The latest unfranked A$0.064 quarterly distribution reinforces the income story, but it does not materially change near term catalysts or the key risk around refinancing a significant debt load in FY26 in what could still be a challenging interest rate backdrop.
The acquisition of a 52% interest in the A$215 million Coles distribution facility, alongside the Sydney industrial asset, is most relevant here, because it extends the logistics footprint that supports those regular distributions. These assets deepen relationships with major supermarket and automotive logistics tenants, tying the income thesis more closely to long term leases and occupancy outcomes at a time when investors are watching both earnings guidance and funding costs very closely.
Yet alongside this growing logistics income stream, investors should be aware that concentrated refinancing needs in FY26 could...
Read the full narrative on Charter Hall Retail REIT (it's free!)
Charter Hall Retail REIT's narrative projects A$266.4 million revenue and A$201.7 million earnings by 2028. This implies revenues will decline by 6.7% per year and earnings will decrease by about A$12.1 million from A$213.8 million today.
Uncover how Charter Hall Retail REIT's forecasts yield a A$4.33 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates cluster in a tight A$4.20 to A$4.331 range, underscoring how differently private investors can view the same REIT. Against that backdrop, the focus on necessity based tenants and long leases into logistics sheds light on why many are watching Charter Hall Retail’s ability to sustain distributions despite rising refinancing risks.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Charter Hall Retail REIT - why the stock might be worth just A$4.20!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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