Wallenius Wilhelmsen (OB:WAWI) just locked in extensions on two major shipping contracts worth an estimated USD 500 million, stretching key customer relationships to 2028 and 2030 and sharpening its long term revenue visibility.
See our latest analysis for Wallenius Wilhelmsen.
The market seems to be catching on to that stability, with a 1 month share price return of 21.54 percent and a 1 year total shareholder return of 31.09 percent, building on an impressive 666.01 percent total shareholder return over five years.
If this contract win has you rethinking transport and industrial exposure, it could be worth scanning auto manufacturers to see which other players might benefit along the value chain.
Yet with revenue and earnings growth softening, and the share price already above consensus targets, the key question now is whether Wallenius Wilhelmsen still trades at a discount or if markets are fully pricing in future growth.
With Wallenius Wilhelmsen closing at NOK104.10 against a narrative fair value near NOK89.04, the prevailing view leans toward a stretched valuation built on demanding assumptions.
The analysts have a consensus price target of NOK99.255 for Wallenius Wilhelmsen based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of NOK116.11, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just NOK75.38.
Curious why a shrinking top line, lower future margins and a higher earnings multiple still add up to a premium valuation narrative, not a discount? Dive in.
Result: Fair Value of $89.04 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, resilient Asian export demand and long term contracts that lock in capacity could cushion softer volumes and margins, which challenges the case for a sustained premium valuation.
Find out about the key risks to this Wallenius Wilhelmsen narrative.
Our valuation checks using earnings multiples paint a very different picture, with Wallenius Wilhelmsen looking cheap at 3.9 times earnings versus a fair ratio of 4.8 times, peers at 4.4 times and the wider European shipping group near 9 times. Is sentiment lagging the fundamentals here?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
If you see the story differently or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a complete thesis in just minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Wallenius Wilhelmsen research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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