Avantia Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8904) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥19.00 per share on 20th of May. This means the annual payment is 4.6% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Avantia's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 59% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 5.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 91%, which is definitely on the higher side.
See our latest analysis for Avantia
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The payments haven't really changed that much since 10 years ago. Slow and steady dividend growth might not sound that exciting, but dividends have been stable for ten years, which we think makes this a fairly attractive offer.
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. In the last five years, Avantia's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.7% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Avantia's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Avantia (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Is Avantia not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.