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To own Best Buy, you need to believe it can translate steady consumer electronics demand and services growth into resilient earnings despite margin pressure and intense online competition. Dylan Jadeja’s board and committee appointments may help sharpen thinking around gaming, digital engagement, and capital allocation, but they do not materially change the key near term catalyst, which is execution on the computing upgrade and AI hardware cycle, or the biggest current risk, which is ongoing gross margin pressure from mix and promotions.
Among recent developments, Best Buy’s launch and scaling of its online marketplace stands out as most relevant to Jadeja’s arrival, given his background in gaming and digital content. The marketplace meaningfully expands assortment and supports higher margin retail media revenues, tying directly into the company’s effort to offset rising SG&A and protect profitability while leaning into categories like computing and gaming that sit at the heart of both its catalyst set and its mix related margin risk profile.
But investors should also weigh how a heavier tilt toward lower margin gaming and computing categories could...
Read the full narrative on Best Buy (it's free!)
Best Buy's narrative projects $44.5 billion revenue and $1.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 2.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.7 billion earnings increase from $778.0 million today.
Uncover how Best Buy's forecasts yield a $83.95 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Best Buy’s fair value between US$64.62 and US$166.66, underscoring how far opinions can spread. Set against that dispersion, the key question many will keep coming back to is whether the mix shift toward lower margin categories and competitive pricing will cap the earnings power they are building their models around.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Best Buy - why the stock might be worth 13% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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