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Cisco’s investment case rests on it being a core supplier of AI ready networking, with rising recurring revenue and disciplined capital returns. The Asiacell rollout highlights traction for Cisco’s AI automation in live carrier networks, but it does not materially change the near term catalyst, which is continued hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders, or the key risk around reliance on a concentrated set of large AI customers and integration of new platforms like Splunk.
The most relevant recent announcement is Cisco’s Q1 FY2026 “beat and raise,” with 8% year over year revenue growth and higher full year guidance tied to US$1.3 billion of AI infrastructure orders and a US$3 billion AI revenue target. Together with deployments like Asiacell’s AI driven Provider Connectivity Assurance, this momentum in AI networking and service assurance sits at the heart of the current bullish narrative around Cisco’s ability to convert AI capex into durable growth.
Yet even with stronger AI driven guidance, investors should be aware that Cisco’s heavy dependence on a few hyperscale AI customers could...
Read the full narrative on Cisco Systems (it's free!)
Cisco Systems' narrative projects $65.2 billion revenue and $14.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 4.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $3.8 billion earnings increase from $10.2 billion today.
Uncover how Cisco Systems' forecasts yield a $84.81 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.
Eleven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Cisco between US$61.52 and US$84.81 per share, underscoring how far opinions can diverge. As you weigh those viewpoints, remember that Cisco’s growing reliance on large AI infrastructure orders from a small customer set could have outsized effects on its future performance.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Cisco Systems - why the stock might be worth as much as 7% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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