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We Think You Can Look Beyond Naphtha Israel Petroleum's (TLV:NFTA) Lackluster Earnings

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Naphtha Israel Petroleum Corp. Ltd.'s (TLV:NFTA) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
TASE:NFTA Earnings and Revenue History December 10th 2025

Examining Cashflow Against Naphtha Israel Petroleum's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2025, Naphtha Israel Petroleum had an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₪669m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₪145.3m. Naphtha Israel Petroleum's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

View our latest analysis for Naphtha Israel Petroleum

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Naphtha Israel Petroleum.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Naphtha Israel Petroleum's profit was reduced by unusual items worth ₪148m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Naphtha Israel Petroleum doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Naphtha Israel Petroleum's Profit Performance

Considering both Naphtha Israel Petroleum's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think Naphtha Israel Petroleum's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Naphtha Israel Petroleum at this point in time. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Naphtha Israel Petroleum (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Our examination of Naphtha Israel Petroleum has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.