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Rubrik (RBRK): Evaluating Valuation After a Recent 28% Weekly Share Price Jump

Simply Wall St · 2d ago

Rubrik (RBRK) has been on a quiet but steady climb, with the stock up about 28% over the past week and roughly 20% over the past month, catching more investors’ attention.

See our latest analysis for Rubrik.

Zooming out, Rubrik’s recent surge sits on top of a solid backdrop, with the year to date share price return of 37.62% and a 12 month total shareholder return of 29.66% signaling that momentum is building rather than fading around its $91.31 share price.

If Rubrik’s run has you rethinking your exposure to high growth tech names, this could be a good moment to explore other high growth tech and AI stocks that are starting to gain traction.

Still, with Rubrik trading below consensus targets but already rewarded for rapid growth, the key question is whether today’s valuation leaves room for meaningful upside or if the market has largely priced in its future expansion.

Most Popular Narrative: 19.9% Undervalued

With the narrative fair value near $114 versus Rubrik’s $91.31 close, the story leans toward upside as analysts map out an aggressive growth runway.

The company's pivotal role at the intersection of data security and AI, especially through products like Annapurna, can expand their total addressable market (TAM), potentially driving future revenue growth and enhancing their market position in this expanding field.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see how ambitious growth, richer margins, and a punchy future earnings multiple all connect into that fair value call? The full narrative lays out the entire playbook.

Result: Fair Value of $114.05 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heightened competition and slower than expected AI or cloud adoption could challenge Rubrik’s growth assumptions and put pressure on both margins and valuation.

Find out about the key risks to this Rubrik narrative.

Another Angle on Valuation

While the narrative suggests Rubrik is almost 20% undervalued, its price to sales ratio of 15.3 times looks stretched versus US software peers at 4.9 times and a fair ratio of 10.5 times. If sentiment cools, could that gap close from the top down?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:RBRK PS Ratio as at Dec 2025
NYSE:RBRK PS Ratio as at Dec 2025

Build Your Own Rubrik Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Rubrik research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.