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To own O-I Glass, you need to believe that disciplined cost reduction and premium glass packaging can offset modest revenue growth and industry substitution pressures. The Citi conference spotlight on the Fit to Win program reinforces this cost-efficiency story and appears to support the key near term catalyst of earnings improvement, but it does not remove the risk that profitability remains heavily dependent on ongoing savings, especially if volumes stay soft or energy and input costs rise.
Among recent developments, the series of share buybacks totaling roughly 4.2 million shares for about US$49.9 million stands out alongside the Fit to Win push. While these repurchases do not change the underlying operational challenges, they do show management committing capital at current valuation levels at the same time analysts are becoming more positive on cost driven earnings momentum, which together keeps the focus firmly on whether efficiency gains can be sustained.
Yet against this improving sentiment, investors still need to be aware that O-I’s reliance on aggressive cost cutting to support earnings means...
Read the full narrative on O-I Glass (it's free!)
O-I Glass’ narrative projects $6.8 billion revenue and $385.1 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how O-I Glass' forecasts yield a $15.89 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members place O-I Glass’s fair value between about US$15.89 and US$49.05 across 2 independent views, highlighting very different expectations. You should weigh these against the company’s heavy reliance on its Fit to Win cost program to support profitability and consider how that dependence could influence performance if volume or input cost conditions change.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on O-I Glass - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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