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To own World Kinect, you need to believe in its transition toward higher quality, energy management and transition services while managing pressure in legacy land and marine fuels. The new US$0.20 dividend and US$150.00 million open-ended buyback do not materially change the key near term story, which still hinges on whether the portfolio shift can offset revenue headwinds and margin compression risk in its more traditional fuel businesses.
Among the latest announcements, the open-ended US$150.00 million share repurchase program stands out as most relevant, given World Kinect’s history of using buybacks alongside regular dividends. For investors, this sits against catalysts such as portfolio reshaping and efficiency efforts, and a risk backdrop that still includes secular decline in parts of the land segment and potential earnings volatility in marine, even as the company leans further into energy transition and aviation services.
Yet while the capital return story is appealing, investors should still be aware that World Kinect’s land segment faces...
Read the full narrative on World Kinect (it's free!)
World Kinect's narrative projects $37.1 billion revenue and $330.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 1.5% yearly revenue decline and a $759.6 million earnings increase from $-428.7 million today.
Uncover how World Kinect's forecasts yield a $28.33 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see World Kinect’s fair value between US$28.33 and US$41.00, underscoring how far opinions can diverge. You may want to weigh those views against the risk that secular decline in the land segment and a shrinking addressable market could keep long term revenue under pressure.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on World Kinect - why the stock might be worth just $28.33!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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