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To own Simply Good Foods, you need to believe in the long term appeal of its better-for-you snacks and meal replacements, and the company’s ability to manage a mixed brand portfolio that includes a slower Atkins franchise. The recent US$60 million non cash impairment is largely an accounting reset, so it does not materially change the near term focus on stabilizing Atkins trends or the ongoing risk around leadership transition and execution.
The most relevant recent announcement is Simply Good Foods’ Q4 FY2025 and full year FY2025 results, where the impairment pushed the quarter into a GAAP loss despite higher full year sales and positive net income. This puts the spotlight on whether management can keep growing revenues, protect margins under cost pressure, and use its brand mix to offset any continued drag from Atkins while integrating newer growth engines like OWYN.
Yet beneath the accounting noise, the real issue investors should be watching is how dependent Simply Good Foods still is on a shrinking Atkins brand and...
Read the full narrative on Simply Good Foods (it's free!)
Simply Good Foods' narrative projects $1.6 billion revenue and $204.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $58.8 million earnings increase from $145.3 million today.
Uncover how Simply Good Foods' forecasts yield a $29.70 fair value, a 57% upside to its current price.
Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Simply Good Foods range from US$29.70 to about US$57.56, underlining how far opinions can diverge. You should weigh that spread against the recent Atkins impairment and brand concentration risk, and then explore several viewpoints before deciding how this fits into your portfolio.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Simply Good Foods - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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