ES-CON JAPAN Ltd. (TSE:8892) will pay a dividend of ¥48.00 on the 26th of June. The dividend yield will be 4.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, ES-CON JAPAN was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 225% of cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.
EPS is set to fall by 4.0% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 48%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
Check out our latest analysis for ES-CON JAPAN
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥6.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥48.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 23% per annum over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. It's not great to see that ES-CON JAPAN's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.0% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While ES-CON JAPAN is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, ES-CON JAPAN has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.