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To own Merck today, you need to believe it can steadily turn a Keytruda‑centric story into a broader, multi‑asset portfolio in oncology, vaccines and now neurology. The Fast Track designation for MK‑2214 and the first‑in‑human Alzheimer’s data add a new potential growth pillar, but they do not change the key near term catalyst, which remains execution on late‑stage launches and pipeline readouts ahead of the eventual Keytruda loss of exclusivity.
Among recent developments, Merck’s decision to raise more than US$8.97 billion across senior and subordinated bond offerings feels most relevant here, because it speaks to the company’s capacity to fund a larger R&D and business development agenda in parallel with these new Alzheimer’s trials. For investors tracking catalysts, the combination of enhanced balance sheet flexibility, expanding indications for Keytruda and an emerging Alzheimer’s program will likely shape expectations around how effectively Merck can offset future revenue concentration risk.
Yet while the Alzheimer’s news is encouraging, investors should be aware that the eventual loss of exclusivity for Keytruda could...
Read the full narrative on Merck (it's free!)
Merck's narrative projects $72.0 billion revenue and $24.3 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 4.2% yearly revenue growth and a $7.9 billion earnings increase from $16.4 billion today.
Uncover how Merck's forecasts yield a $104.27 fair value, in line with its current price.
Thirty Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Merck span roughly US$77 to US$216 per share, underscoring how differently individual investors view the same business. Against that backdrop, the Alzheimer’s Fast Track news and Merck’s heavy investment in new growth drivers invite you to compare these competing views on how fully the company can offset future Keytruda concentration risk.
Explore 30 other fair value estimates on Merck - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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