The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC) will pay a dividend of $0.40 on the 26th of December. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 6.3%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. While Kraft Heinz is not profitable, it is paying out less than 75% of its free cash flow, which means that there is plenty left over for reinvestment into the business. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.
Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 14%, so there isn't too much pressure on the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Kraft Heinz
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was $2.30, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $1.60. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.6% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 13% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Kraft Heinz's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kraft Heinz that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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