Markets bet on whether Nicolás Maduro will be out in November

Barchart · 11/23/2025 03:22

Kalshi has reported 46,588 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Nicolás Maduro out in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Nicolás Maduro", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 9% probability.

If Nicolás Maduro has resigned or otherwise left as president of Venezuela before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 732,180 transactions since it was first opened on November 01, 2025. There are 469,698 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,092,990 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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