Tein, Inc.'s (TSE:7217) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to ¥16.00 on the 29th of June. The dividend yield of 4.1% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last payment made up 77% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 14.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 101%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Check out our latest analysis for Tein
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥6.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥16.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Tein's EPS has fallen by approximately 14% per year during the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Tein you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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